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Climate change calculated, part 10 from 16.01.2026

In this episode: Electric car adoption, S-curves and the end of combustion engines in 2035

Why is the automotive industry trying to water down the 2035 combustion engine ban, even though it is still about 10 years away and countries such as Norway have almost achieved this goal?
How do we assess the current situation and how can we realistically estimate the coming years?
The answer lies in a simple but very powerful model: S-curves of technology adoption.

YouTube-Video

ClimateChange10ModellingFiles

Climate change calculated, part 9 from 18.07.2025

In this episode: Durability and Convenience of Electric Vehicles
Are electric vehicles really more durable than combustion cars? And what about battery degradation, range, or charging convenience?

YouTube-Video

Climate Change Calculated slides (pdf)

Climate change calculated, part 8 from 23.12.2024

In this episode: E-mobility offers a practical solution for reducing CO₂ emissions. We explore the benefits of CO₂ pricing, the reduction of emissions through electric vehicles, and the advantages of software-defined automobiles. Real data and personal experiences highlight that transitioning to e-mobility not only benefits the environment but is also economically and practically advantageous.

YouTube-Video

Climate Change Calculated slides (pdf)

Climate change calculated, part 7 from 11.12.2023

Energy Storage

In this episode: Lithium-ion batteries are the cheapest solution for energy supply and will soon be widely available. They are also cheaper than gas peaker power plants and can replace them. They are therefore the key to the complete decarbonization of power generation!

Climate change calculated, part 6 from 15.09.2022

On the occasion of the Ukraine war, this episode is about political power dynamics and the transition to renewable energy.

YouTube video: https: https://youtu.be/m2unxXQN_hg

Slides: Github repository

Climate change calculated, part 5 from 18.09.2021

In this episode, we answer the question: how much space do we need for renewable energy?

In Part 4, we saw that renewable energy is efficient and cheap enough to compete with and replace fossil energy. Now we answer the question: how much space will it take?

YouTube video (in German)

Sildes you can find here: Github repository

Links in the slides:

www.munichre.com/de/risiken/extremwetter.html

www.ise.fraunhofer.de/content/dam/ise/de/documents/news/2019/Stromerzeugung_2019_2.pdf

www.bmwi.de/Redaktion/DE/Pressemitteilungen/2021/07/20210713-erste-abschaetzungen-stromverbrauch-2030.html

www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2018/20180306_pressemitteilung_klima_pk_news.html

www.energie-experten.org/erneuerbare-energien/photovoltaik/planung/ertrag.html

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braunkohlebergbau

www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/378/publikationen/potenzial_der_windenergie.pdf

Climate change calculated, part 4 from 27.02.2020

In the 4th part of the series, we answer the question: What can we do? We look at the composition of our electricity generation, the development of renewable energy technologies and their price trends.

Video part 4 on YouTube

Slides Climate change calculated part 4

List of links:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazca_culture

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indus-Kultur

www.resorti.de/blog/eugene-poubelle-und-die-geschichte-der-muelltrennung/

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fahrzeugkatalysator

strom-report.de/strom/

www.ise.fraunhofer.de/de/presse-und-medien/presseinformationen/2018/studie-zu-stromgestehungskosten-photovoltaik-und-onshore-wind-sind-guenstigste-technologien-in-deutschland.html

npolicy.org/article_file/New_Nuclear-The_Economics_Say_No.pdf

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stromgestehungskosten

de.statista.com/infografik/20280/preisentwicklung-von-lithium-ionen-batterien/

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windkraftanlage

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cell

strom-report.de/stromverbrauch/,

www.solaranlage-ratgeber.de/photovoltaik/photovoltaik-leistung/photovoltaik-ertrag-in-sommer-und-winter

Climate change calculated, part 3 from 06.12.2019

In the 3rd part of the series we answer the question: What sea level rise can we expect? We look at the heat of melting of ice and use the radiative forcing of the increased CO2 concentration of the atmosphere to calculate the rate of melting and the area of the oceans to calculate the sea level rise.

Climate change calculated, part 2 from 15.11.2019

In the 2nd part of the series we answer the question: Does the CO2 concentration influence the global temperature? We look at the physical principles of the greenhouse effect and calculate the expected global temperature rise.

Climate change calculated, part 1 from 31.10.2019

In the first part of the series, we answer the question: can the observed increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration be explained by human activity, and if so, to what extent?

Video Part 1 on YouTube